Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.082453 0.096342 0.111816 0.130330 0.151880 0.176173 0.205642
2026-02-01 0.060598 0.077623 0.098355 0.125451 0.159932 0.202357 0.258557
2026-02-08 0.047059 0.065393 0.089547 0.123678 0.170666 0.233114 0.322506
2026-02-15 0.036977 0.055326 0.081290 0.120665 0.178878 0.261825 0.389171
2026-02-22 0.030713 0.049165 0.077030 0.122106 0.193214 0.301161 0.477781
2026-03-01 0.025464 0.043382 0.072114 0.121437 0.204029 0.336921 0.567438
2026-03-08 0.020764 0.037484 0.065828 0.117246 0.208242 0.362760 0.645686
2026-03-15 0.017626 0.033579 0.062062 0.116450 0.217771 0.398637 0.746831
2026-03-22 0.015750 0.031554 0.061164 0.120474 0.236378 0.453115 0.890290
2026-03-29 0.014260 0.029953 0.060723 0.125188 0.256958 0.514352 1.056757
2026-04-05 0.012845 0.028219 0.059692 0.128496 0.275245 0.573970 1.230058
2026-04-12 0.011399 0.026139 0.057577 0.129155 0.288130 0.624697 1.393576
2026-04-19 0.009674 0.023214 0.053376 0.125063 0.291252 0.657995 1.531386
2026-04-26 0.008134 0.020407 0.048931 0.119637 0.290555 0.683319 1.657410
2026-05-03 0.007051 0.018466 0.046109 0.117472 0.297089 0.726278 1.833180
2026-05-10 0.006079 0.016600 0.043114 0.114311 0.300669 0.763131 2.001900
2026-05-17 0.005468 0.015542 0.041920 0.115481 0.315394 0.829795 2.258609
2026-05-24 0.004852 0.014340 0.040125 0.114722 0.324981 0.885361 2.497656
2026-05-31 0.004192 0.012872 0.037332 0.110682 0.324913 0.915795 2.675201
2026-06-07 0.003742 0.011920 0.035788 0.109879 0.333818 0.972187 2.936794
2026-06-14 0.003495 0.011532 0.035792 0.113644 0.356813 1.072278 3.344950
2026-06-21 0.003288 0.011229 0.035995 0.118071 0.382741 1.185710 3.815791
2026-06-28 0.003063 0.010817 0.035785 0.121177 0.405248 1.293249 4.290194